The 5-Minute Fix: What to watch for in North Korea-Trump talks




The 5-Minute Fix
Keeping up with politics is easy now



The 5-Minute Fix: What to watch for in North Korea-Trump talks


By Amber Phillips
Dennis Rodman's on board. So are some members of Congress, albeit hesitantly. But everyone is totally shocked that President Trump went from promising to rain down “fire and fury” on North Korea to saying he may sit down with one of the world's most erratic leaders, a.k.a. “Little Rocket Man,” a.k.a. “lunatic,” a.k.a. Kim Jong Un.
If Trump goes through with the meeting, he would be the first sitting U.S. president in, well, ever to have a face-to-face a North Korean leader.
It goes without saying this is hugely risky. Trump would be handing a reclusive dictator the legitimacy he so craves, and there's no guarantee the U.S. can get something in return. Worst-case scenario, North Korea has a ballistic missile that is capable of reaching all of the United States.












People watch a TV screen showing images of North Korea, South Korea and the U.S. leader in South Korea. (Ahn Young-joon/AP)
Here are four things to watch as we gauge whether the talks have a chance of reducing tensions between North Korea and the rest of the world:
1. Is North Korea serious about denuclearization? The Trump administration says North Korea has agreed to make getting rid of its nukes part of the talks. But foreign policy experts don't think North Korea will let go of its leverage without big concessions from the U.S., like lifting punishing sanctions. That could hang up the talks altogether. The White House said Friday that Trump will only meet with Un if he talks "verifiable actions" toward denuking. 












Un and Trump. (Getty)
2. Is the Trump administration prepared enough to handle this? Trump has filled his White House and Cabinet with people like him, novices in government and diplomacy. He's also been glacially slow in staffing up; he hasn't even nominated a U.S. ambassador to South Korea yet.
3. Can Trump stick to a script? Experts warn that every syllable in a high-stakes negotiation like this will matter. But Trump prides himself on throwing out the playbook at the last minute and just going with his gut. That's gotten him into fights with the Australian prime minister, the president of Mexico — and kept him relatively cozy with Russian President Vladimir Putin, explains The Fix's Aaron Blake. Who knows where that will lead with North Korea.













President Trump speaks with Russian President Vladimir Putin at an economic summit in Vietnam. (Mikhail KLIMENTYEV/AFP/Getty Images)
4. Does Trump come up with a deal Congress can get behind?Congress doesn't have an official say in all this. But they can shape how the public reacts. In many ways these talks are for Trump what the Iran nuclear deal was for President Barack Obama. Both leaders are putting themselves out there by undertaking risky negotiations with U.S. adversaries. Those negotiations are extremely difficult to do, but extremely easy to criticize.

Your Russia roundup













Former Trump campaign aide Sam Nunberg, left, arrives at a Washington federal courthouse Friday to testify to a grand jury in the Russia investigation. (J. Scott Applewhite/AP)
Quick quiz for my regular readers: Which day of the week did former Trump campaign aide Sam Nunberg go on a cable TV tear about the Russia investigation? Was it even this week?
(Answer: Yes, Monday, but so much has happened since then that I had to Google it first.)
As I said, Nunberg isn't the only new development in the Russia investigation. Here's more:
1. Trump reportedly told an aide to deny he tried to fire special counsel Robert S. Mueller III. Even though Trump did make moves to fire Mueller last summer. News of Trump appearing to cover up the attempted Mueller firing came from the New York Times.
We already know Mueller is investigating the president for potentially obstructing justice. But Trump's actions suggest he's not too worried about it.
2. A Trump supporter may have tried to establish a secret back channel between Trump and Russia. The way Blackwater founder Erik Prince framed it to Congress, he coincidentally ran into Russian officials on a remote island in the Indian Ocean before Trump's inauguration last year, and they never talked about setting up a secret channel for the White House to talk to the Kremlin.
The Post reports that Mueller's team is building evidence that the exact opposite happened. Mueller's team has witnesses testifying that Prince went to the Seychelles specifically to help Team Trump communicate with Putin. What for, we don't know.
3. After all his bluster, former Trump campaign aide Nunberg did testify to a grand jury about the Trump campaign. The testimony happened Friday. We don't know what he said. But white collar lawyer Jeffrey Jacobovitz points out that grand juries are the method by which Mueller can issue indictments. (More on how grand juries work.)
One thoughtful thing to leave you with ….












Trump and porn star Stormy Daniels. (Matt Sayles/AP)
Why are evangelicals sticking by Trump in the face of all his alleged sexual indiscretions, asks The Fix's Eugene Scott? No one seems to have an answer.
“There had been a lot of talk among evangelicals about the significance of character in politics,” said Collin Hansen, head of a national network of conservative evangelical churches, to ABC. " ... That clearly was not the top priority of white evangelicals, or at least most of them, when it came to the last presidential election.”
And one fun thing ...













Trump and Vice President Pence cut a cake at an inaugural ball. (David J. Phillip/AP)
The president's own doctor has said he needs to eat fewer Big Macs. But is that possible when the president has a team of chefs dedicated to catering to his every whim, asks The Post's food writer, Tim Carman?
Not really. “If the president calls up the usher and wants a bag of Doritos and queso dip,” Carman reports, “the usher is going to bring the president a bag of Doritos and queso dip.”


Amid stories about Trump’s alleged past sexual activity, administration focuses on abstinence-only education
Data shows that the number of teens having sex is actually dropping.
By Eugene Scott  •  Read more »
Analysis
Here’s what we know about Trump the diplomat ahead of his Kim Jong Un meeting
We're entering a more detailed and delicate process. Trump has shown he is anything but detailed and delicate.
By Aaron Blake  •  Read more »
Analysis
Why Congress is cautiously optimistic on Trump’s talks with North Korea
Congress seems to be cautiously optimistic that Trump can handle this, even though it hasn't given him the benefit of the doubt on much else.
By Amber Phillips  •  Read more »
Analysis
Three theories about Obama TV, possibly coming to Netflix
What are the former president and first lady up to?
By Callum Borchers  •  Read more »
Trump called Gary Cohn a ‘globalist.’ Here’s why some people find that offensive.
The word may have seemed innocuous. But to observers of extremism, it speaks to something darker and more conspiracy-minded.
By Eli Rosenberg  •  Read more »
Analysis
Rex Tillerson said talking to Kim Jong Un wouldn’t be ‘realistic’ or prudent yet. Hours later, Trump said he’d do it.
Yet more proof of Trump's seat-of-his-pants presidency.
By Aaron Blake  •  Read more »
Analysis
Trump has gotten credit on North Korea. But a Kim Jong Un meeting presents an unprecedented challenge.
Experts say Trump has helped move the needle. Talks with Kim Jong Un will show whether he's truly effected change.
By Aaron Blake  •  Read more »




Comments

MOST POPULAR

House memo states disputed dossier was key to FBI's FISA warrant to surveil members of Team Trump

The Post Most: Syria says strike on military base carried out by Israeli warplanes

The Post Most: Paul Ryan celebrated the tax cut with a tweet about a secretary saving $1.50 a week

National Law Journal

The Big Mac And The Crocodile

The Daily 202: Trump launches a rescue mission to save GOP seat in Pennsylvania special election.....

MASSterList: Crime and punishment | Lovefest blues | Remembering MLK